Black Forest Supplements · Nootropic Pouches · EM-219
v2, built Oct 20 2026 and rebuilt Oct 21 on a three-pull census, our own list, the concept page and the regulatory lane. Every figure is computed from a data file in the repo and carries its read date. No campaign copy, by design. Companion pages: swipe gallery · launch hub · angles & landscape.
status flag is stale and its daysRunning counts to the pull date, so every status and run figure here is now derived from first/last-seen dates. (2) Juan then asked whether ten live US ads could really be the field. They were not: Meta's targeting field is null for US-only advertisers, so the Oct 20 census's US country filter had excluded the US-only brands. Two more pulls (the same terms with no country filter and seen-since-Oct-13, plus 14 brands pulled by advertiser) take the census from 1,249 to 2,865 ads, and the live US pouch field from "one brand" to 430 live ads from 23 brands. Both earlier versions are kept in the data. TrendTrack credits spent on this census: 6,840.Angles are the provisional taxonomy seeded from the concept page's own language (section 09 lean-into / avoid lists and the review themes) and coded over ad text, first trigger wins. Refine from the corpus before v2.
| Angle | All pouch ads (share) | 90d+ (true run) | Live US ads (share) | US brands | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicotine / tobacco replacement (customer-language ring) | 602 (35.2%) | 11 | 177 (41.2%) | 16 | Half the live US category (177 live US ads, 16 brands: Ultra Pouches, NZE and most of the small ones). Never ours as a claim: cessation is a drug claim. Audience, not promise. |
| Focus / locked in / nootropic stack | 507 (29.7%) | 10 | 193 (44.9%) | 11 | The other half (193 live US ads, 11 brands; Neutonic, Grinds, Nitro, Focus Lab). Table stakes. |
| Other / mixed | 216 (12.6%) | 2 | 9 (2.1%) | 4 | Unclassified by the provisional triggers; refine from the corpus. |
| Ditch energy drinks / coffee replacement | 142 (8.3%) | 0 | 0 (0%) | 0 | Common and short-lived: 0 of its ads reached 90 days. An occasion hook, not an identity. |
| Clean energy / no crash / no jitters | 100 (5.9%) | 11 | 32 (7.4%) | 5 | Thin: 32 live US ads from 5 brands (Revive X is the one leaning on it). |
| Caffeine-free / paraxanthine | 54 (3.2%) | 3 | 15 (3.5%) | 1 | One live US rival: Ultra Pouches (takeultra.com, paraxanthine), 15 live US ads on this angle and 101 live overall. Not empty; contested by exactly one brand, at 100 mg against our 200. |
| Taste and pouch integrity | 40 (2.3%) | 1 | 1 (0.2%) | 1 | A complaint-driven proof point (taste ~38%, integrity ~11% of negative reviews), rarely led with. |
| Every mg on the label / dose transparency | 34 (2.0%) | 0 | 3 (0.7%) | 2 | Whitespace in the US: 3 live US ads from 2 brands. In the UK two brands run dose-forward copy (Contact Coffee Co., Pouch Store). Open. |
| Hardcore / gaming / youth (the lane we avoid) | 14 (0.8%) | 1 | 0 (0%) | 0 | The lane we avoid (concept page). Tracked, not used. |
Excluding Neutonic, the live US pouch field is 297 ads from 22 brands; Ultra Pouches, NZE, Grinds and Nitro are the ones at scale. Below, the older framing kept for the record: excluding Neutonic, the US-targeted pouch set is 553 ads from 33 brands, 297 of them live, none past 90 days. The shelf the concept page called empty is empty on Meta too.
Three pulls merged (Oct 20 term census with a US country filter; Oct 21 live sweep of the same terms with NO country filter; Oct 21 per-brand pulls for 14 resolved advertisers). Meta's targeting field is null for US-only advertisers, so the first census had excluded them; US relevance is now: US in Meta's targeting data OR no country data with a non-EU landing domain.
Terms: nootropic pouches, caffeine pouches, energy pouches, focus pouches, nicotine free pouches, zero nicotine pouches, paraxanthine. Two terms ("energy pouches", "focus pouches") were capped at 500 of about 530 each. Receipts in _research/trendtrack/raw/.
| Ran (days) | Brand | Angle | US | First sentence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126 | NZE | Nicotine / tobacco replacement (customer-language ring) | US | “My gym essential?” |
| 124 | Neutonic | Focus / locked in / nootropic stack | US | “Caffeine gum tastes like medicine.” |
| 118 | Long Run Coffee | Clean energy / no crash / no jitters | US | “The cleanest caffeine for hill efforts.” |
| 111 | Long Run Coffee | Nicotine / tobacco replacement (customer-language ring) | US | “A caffeine pouch made for runners, not bros at the gym.” |
| 101 | BaccOff Non-Tobacco chew | Nicotine / tobacco replacement (customer-language ring) | US | “48% of dippers start before the age of 15.” |
| 79 | Long Run Coffee | Other / mixed | US | “Caffeine that kicks in during your warmup, not after your workout.” |
| 75 | Ultra Pouches | Caffeine-free / paraxanthine | US | “The hardest part of fasting isn't hunger.” |
| 74 | BaccOff Non-Tobacco chew | Nicotine / tobacco replacement (customer-language ring) | US | “The energy speaks for itself.” |
| 58 | NZE | Nicotine / tobacco replacement (customer-language ring) | US | “9 holes with NZE ⛳️ These nicotine-free pouches are my go-to for clean energy and focus on and off the course!” |
| 56 | NZE | Nicotine / tobacco replacement (customer-language ring) | US | “Looking for a nicotine-free pouch with zero artificial sweeteners?” |
| 49 | NZE | Nicotine / tobacco replacement (customer-language ring) | US | “When you're looking for a nicotine-free pouch for the end of the day, you want something that won't mess with your sleep.” |
| 41 | THRUXco | Nicotine / tobacco replacement (customer-language ring) | US | “Ultra uses para...” |
| 39 | Grinds Coffee Pouches | Focus / locked in / nootropic stack | US | “Grinds Energy Pouches are small pouches of caffeine & flavor to keep you sharp and help promote focus.” |
| 39 | Grinds Coffee Pouches | Every mg on the label / dose transparency | US | “🚨🍇 NEW FLAVOR - GRAPE” |
| 39 | Long Run Coffee | Other / mixed | US | “Every morning before my run.” |
| 34 | THRUXco | Every mg on the label / dose transparency | US | “Yes, the pouch is pink.” |
| 33 | Ultra Pouches | Clean energy / no crash / no jitters | US | “You're not under-caffeinated.” |
| 29 | Neutonic | Focus / locked in / nootropic stack | US | “Don’t buy these if a can of something sugary is working fine for you.” |
| 28 | Grinds Coffee Pouches | Other / mixed | US | “Fuel your day with Grinds!” |
| 27 | Drink Reboot | Focus / locked in / nootropic stack | US | “⚡ 50MG CAFFEINE.” |
| 26 | Ultra Pouches | Nicotine / tobacco replacement (customer-language ring) | US | “Third coffee of the day and you're still yawning.” |
| 21 | Richard Davis | Nicotine / tobacco replacement (customer-language ring) | US | “If you're struggling to last longer in bed, look at your pouch.” |
| 20 | Ultra Pouches | Focus / locked in / nootropic stack | US | “FOCUS RESPONSIBLY” |
| 19 | NZE | Focus / locked in / nootropic stack | US | “I love NZE pouches for a boost of energy and focus when I need to lock in, from practice to the gym to game day ⚽️” |
| 19 | NZE | Nicotine / tobacco replacement (customer-language ring) | US | “NZE pouches are made to help you lock in when it matters.” |
| 18 | Shush Pouches | Focus / locked in / nootropic stack | US | “Caffeine pouches give you caffeine.” |
| 18 | NZE | Nicotine / tobacco replacement (customer-language ring) | US | “I always grab NZE pouches before I work out, because they keep me focused and concentrated without any nicotine, sugar, or artificial sweeteners.” |
| 18 | NZE | Nicotine / tobacco replacement (customer-language ring) | US | “NZE pouches are essential for any travel day!” |
| 18 | NZE | Nicotine / tobacco replacement (customer-language ring) | US | “The ritual you love, with zero nicotine.” |
| 18 | NZE | Nicotine / tobacco replacement (customer-language ring) | US | “Shop NZE nicotine-free pouches at Circle K—find a location near you with our online tool.” |
The villain turns that ran at least a month (the category's own version of “not aging, by design”): “The hardest part of fasting isn't hunger.” (Ultra Pouches, 75d).
Red = the terms that point at the caffeine-free SKU, which is where the concept page put two thirds of the first run. Source: Jungle Scout volumes read July 2 2026, as printed on the concept page; marked directional there and here.
The 24 longest-running from the pouch ring; the full 150 are in the swipe gallery, filterable by angle. Coding on the five dimensions coffee used (format, person, product-in-frame, text density, colour field) is pending and lands in v2.
























| Brand | Ring | Ads | 90d+ (true) | Longest run | Live (7d) | Last seen | Domains | US | Angle mix | Longest-running opener |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neutonic | nf-pouch | 313 | 4 | 124d | 177 | 2026-10-21 | neutonic.com | US | Focus 229, Nicotine 83, Clean energy 1 | “Caffeine gum tastes like medicine. Coffee stains your teeth and needs a machine. Neutonic Focus Pouches are ze” |
| ST8 | nf-pouch | 204 | 12 | 123d | 1 | 2026-10-20 | st8supply.com | US | Focus 99, Nicotine 81, Clean energy 18 | “All the focus. None of the gut rot. Coffee takes time. It hits your stomach. And it often leaves you bloated,” |
| BioHackify | nf-pouch | 169 | 0 | 32d | 0 | 2026-07-16 | biohackify.de | Other 83, Ditch energy drinks 81, Nicotine 3 | “Probiere jetzt die innovativen Biohackify Pouches mit unserer Geld-zurück-Garantie aus 🤩 Über 500+ sind berei” | |
| Mystic's Energy | nf-pouch | 120 | 3 | 149d | 47 | 2026-10-21 | mysticsenergy.com | US | Nicotine 83, Focus 25, Every mg on the label 7 | “If you've tried to quit nicotine pouches and felt like a completely different, worse version of yourself, that” |
| NZE | nf-pouch | 107 | 2 | 140d | 85 | 2026-10-21 | nzepouches.com | US | Nicotine 68, Focus 35, Other 4 | “” |
| Rippleco | other | 102 | 0 | 16d | 91 | 2026-10-20 | therippleco.co.uk, therippleco.com | US | Taste and pouch integrity 42, Other 40, Nicotine 13 | “Locked in. No jitters. ripple⁺ nootropic pouches isn't a spike. It moves up your level. Pure caffeine for th” |
| Ultra Pouches | nf-pouch | 101 | 0 | 75d | 101 | 2026-10-20 | takeultra.com | US | Nicotine 62, Clean energy 22, Caffeine-free 15 | “The hardest part of fasting isn't hunger. It's the brain fog that makes you useless by noon. Ultra is the zer” |
| Aura Pouches | nicotine | 100 | 0 | 16d | 99 | 2026-10-20 | aurapouches.co, google.com | US | Nicotine 96, Other 4 | “This is why you still have a gut, no matter how clean you eat.” |
| BUM BUM Energy Drink | non-pouch-nootropic | 100 | 62 | 140d | 91 | 2026-10-21 | bumbumenergy.eu, facebook.com, instagram.com | US | Ditch energy drinks 100 | “Bum Bum Energy Drink. Qualité européenne. Un rythme qui t’accompagne jusqu’au bout de la nuit. Disponible au ” |
| TeaZa Energy | non-pouch-nootropic | 100 | 10 | 211d | 19 | 2026-10-21 | teazaenergy.com, vi.com, walmart.com | US | Taste and pouch integrity 44, Other 28, Clean energy 15 | “Power through your day with the crisp, clean taste of Wintergreen Energy” |
| Nurox | nf-pouch | 100 | 0 | 70d | 0 | 2026-07-07 | nuroxlabs.com | US | Nicotine 45, Caffeine-free 31, Clean energy 15 | “Most "focus" supplements are just caffeine with a fancy label. NUROX is different. We built this stack from s” |
| Heart WIP | other | 100 | 0 | 29d | 65 | 2026-10-21 | heartwip.com | Other 100 | “100% Cotton-Knit Cardigans, crafted for effortless everyday layering. FW26 Live Now” | |
| IQ Pouch | nf-pouch | 89 | 10 | 109d | 0 | 2026-06-30 | iqpouch.ca, iqpouch.co.uk, iqpouch.com | US | Clean energy 24, Nicotine 22, Other 21 | “If caffeine makes you feel wired, scattered, or inconsistent, there’s a better way. IQ Pouch delivers clean en” |
| Kick | other | 71 | 16 | 337d | 19 | 2026-10-20 | gokick.com, try.gokick.com | US | Other 61, Taste and pouch integrity 7, Hardcore 3 | “Naturally nervous introverts are using our "anxiety armor" to go from 'shaky and sweaty' to 'confidently cool.” |
| NITRO Pouches | nf-pouch | 64 | 0 | 24d | 23 | 2026-10-21 | instagram.com, nitropouch.com | US | Focus 33, Clean energy 9, Nicotine 9 | “Looking for a clean energy option while on your journey? Nitro delivers focus in a zero-sugar, zero-calorie po” |
| Haus Of Gifts | nicotine-quit | 59 | 4 | 155d | 4 | 2026-10-20 | st8supply.com | Nicotine 59 | “I've been using nicotine pouches for about two years and I genuinely believed they were making me more product” |
Live into the US now: Neutonic 133, Ultra Pouches 101, NZE 85, Grinds Coffee Pouches 28, NITRO Pouches 23, Focus Lab 12. Ultra Pouches (takeultra.com) is the one to study for SKU-002: 101 live ads, paraxanthine, run on the nicotine-replacement angle. ST8's program was the most persistent (12 of the 151 ads that genuinely ran 90+ days are ST8's; 204 ads on st8supply.com plus three alias pages, Haus Of Gifts, Quitting Snus Support & Tips, The Wellness Report, running the quit-nicotine advertorial onto the same domain) and it has been dark since 2026-10-20: none of its ads were seen in the week before the pull. What is live now: Neutonic (177), Ultra Pouches (101), NZE (85), Mystic's Energy (47), Grinds Coffee Pouches (28). Neutonic is the only brand running into the US at scale (133 of the 430 US-targeted pouch ads live in the week before the pull). Brand programs via TrendTrack brandtrackers (hooks, headlines, emails, landing pages) were not pulled in v1: the census alone cost 1,966 credits.
| Product | Price | Per container | Per pouch | Stimulant |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Focus | $38.00 | 45 | $0.84 | paraxanthine 100 mg |
| Upperdeckys | $29.95 | 20 | $1.50 | caffeine 150 mg |
| Nitro | $34.95 | 20 | $1.75 | caffeine 100 mg |
| NZE Energy | $34.99 | 75 | $0.47 | caffeine 50 mg |
| Fully Loaded Alpha | $29.99 | 75 | $0.40 | caffeine 50 mg |
| Wip 200 | $21.99 | 45 | $0.49 | caffeine 200 mg |
| Mojo | $27.50 | 75 | $0.37 | caffeine 50 mg |
| Ours SKU-001 (target) | $24.99 | 20 | $1.25 | caffeine 75 mg + theacrine 100 mg |
| Ours SKU-002 (target) | $39.99 | 20 | $2.00 | paraxanthine 200 mg |
| SKU | Actives per pouch | Max/day | Flavors | Target price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKU-001 Energy + Focus | citicoline 225 mg · L-theanine 100 mg · theacrine 100 mg · caffeine 75 mg | 3 | Mango · Lemon Mint · Peppermint | $24.99 / 20 (target) |
| SKU-002 Caffeine-Free Focus | citicoline 250 mg · paraxanthine 200 mg · L-theanine 50 mg | 1 (proposed) | same | $39.99 / 20 (target) |
Shared base: encapsulated natural flavor, Reb M + thaumatin, WS-23, vegetable glycerin, ~0.9–1.0 g pouch. First run 37,000 units, two thirds SKU-002. No label artwork and no product name exist; canon is seeded from the concept page and says so on every surface.
Claims territory on the concept page: “Supports sharp focus and clean energy” (SKU-001) · “Caffeine-free focus and clean energy support” (SKU-002). Caffeine-free, never stimulant-free. Both are gated on 8b.
| Phrase | Status | Why |
|---|---|---|
| stimulant-free | BANNED | SKU-002 is caffeine-free, not stimulant-free: paraxanthine is a stimulant. Concept page claims territory. |
| no crash guaranteed | BANNED | concept page AVOID list; 'guaranteed' never sits beside a physiological claim |
| clinically proven | BANNED | clinical DOSES, not trials of this product |
| Cognizin | BANNED | trademark (Kyowa). Competitor language only. |
| TeaCrine | BANNED | trademark (Compound Solutions). Competitor language only. |
| enfinity | BANNED | trademark (Ingenious Ingredients paraxanthine). Competitor language only. |
| Zyn | BANNED | trademark, and a nicotine product; naming it invites the comparison |
| quit nicotine / nicotine replacement / cessation | BANNED | cessation is a drug claim; Meta allows only FDA/WHO-approved cessation products |
| no artificial sweeteners | GATED | GATED until a label prints it. Coffee's lesson: the panel carried sucralose after copy said 'no artificial'. |
| dietary supplement | GATED | GATED pending Lane R: an oral pouch that is not swallowed may not meet 21 U.S.C. 321(ff) 'intended for ingestion'. Until counsel answers, copy does not call the product a dietary supplement and prints no Supplement Facts language. |
| cortisol | REVIEW | fear-of-caffeine framing = implied disease claim; concept page AVOID; Meta rejects |
| hardcore / gaming / youth cues | REVIEW | concept page AVOID; buyer is men 40+ |
| deceived (of the court finding) | ACTIVE | The D.C. Circuit struck the 'deliberately deceived the American public' preamble as beyond RICO (2015, 2017). The finding to quote is 'conspired to deny the health effects of smoking'. |
Formula safety: never attack caffeine, sweeteners, glycerin, natural flavor or ‘synthetic’ as a category; the product carries all of them. Slots 01–02 may not say the product, the name, any dose, any price, or the words pouch / pouches (Juan, Oct 20).
| # | Surface | Rule | Status | Source | Owner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A1 | Claims & labeling | Statutory definition of a dietary supplement requires a product 'intended for ingestion' | GATED | 21 U.S.C. § 321(ff)(2)(A), via Cornell LII | counsel (named by Antonio/Juan) |
| A2 | Claims & labeling | FDA's stated position on mucosal delivery | GATED | FDA Warning Letter to DK Vitamins, Feb 5 2019 | counsel |
| A3 | Claims & labeling | FDA daily caffeine reference for healthy adults | CLEAR | FDA, 'Spilling the Beans: How Much Caffeine is Too Much?', p | — |
| A4 | Claims & labeling | FDA guidance on highly concentrated caffeine | CLEAR | FDA Guidance for Industry: Highly Concentrated Caffeine in D | — |
| A5 | Claims & labeling | Paraxanthine regulatory standing | GATED | Szlapinski SK et al., 'Paraxanthine safety and comparison to | counsel + the ingredient supplier's own safety dossier |
| A6 | Claims & labeling | Proposition 65 status of the five actives | UNVERIFIED | OEHHA caffeine page (fetch returned a block page twice; stat | research lane 6 |
| A7 | Claims & labeling | Structure/function claims territory on the concept page | GATED | Concept page §01 (claims territory) | counsel |
| B1 | Ad channels | Meta: tobacco and related products | CLEAR by text, ENFORCEMENT RISK | Meta Advertising Standards, Tobacco and Related Products, la | Juan (creative) |
| B2 | Ad channels | Google Ads: tobacco | CLEAR by text | Google Ads policy, Tobacco | — |
| B3 | Ad channels | TikTok: cigarettes and tobacco products | UNVERIFIED | TikTok ad policy documents surfaced by search (NA SMB one-pa | research lane R, if TikTok ads are planned |
| C1 | Payments | Which processors sit behind Shopify Payments in the US | CLEAR | Shopify Payment Processor List | — |
| C2 | Payments | Stripe prohibited and restricted businesses | CLEAR by text, CLAIMS RISK | Stripe, Prohibited and Restricted Businesses, last updated 2 | Juan (store copy) + whoever owns the Shopify Payments account |
| C3 | Payments | PayPal Acceptable Use Policy | CLEAR by text | PayPal AUP, last updated October 29, 2022 | — |
| C4 | Payments / channel | Shop channel prohibited products | CLEAR | Shopify Help: Shop sales channel prohibited products | — |
| D1 | Email / SMS | Klaviyo Acceptable Use Policy | CLEAR by text, VOCABULARY RISK | Klaviyo AUP, last updated April 9, 2026 | Juan |
| D2 | Email / SMS | Klaviyo SMS and MMS prohibited content | CLEAR by text | Klaviyo Help Center article 4401822831771, last updated Octo | — |
| D3 | Email / SMS | CTIA Messaging Principles and Best Practices | CLEAR | CTIA, Messaging Principles and Best Practices, May 2023, §5. | — |
| D4 | Email / SMS | SMS verdict for this arc | ALLOWED WITH RULES, UNTESTED | Derived from D1–D3 | Juan |
| E1 | State law | Oregon SB 1571, expanded 'tobacco products' definition, effective June 5 2026 | CLEAR, WATCH | Oregon Health Authority announcement, 06.03.2026 | research lane R |
| E2 | State law | New York A7814, 'oral nicotine pouch' definition | UNVERIFIED | NY Senate bill text (search summary; bill not read) | research lane R |
| E3 | State law | Texas: nicotine pouches are taxable 'tobacco products' (Texas Supreme Court) | UNVERIFIED | Mealey's report (secondary) | research lane R |
Full rows with quotes in _research/regulatory/surface.md.
The argument the hub's Brief Summary makes, one verified document per line. Read Oct 21 2026. Lines marked "re-read" were taken from search summaries of the named document and must be read in full before external use; the dropped line is dropped.
| # | Claim | Source | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| H1 | In Q3 2026 PMI's U.S. ZYN shipments grew 4.2% to 3.2 billion pouches; PMI is moving the flagship ZYN portfolio to 20-pouch cans 'to optimize ZYN's price premium'. | Philip Morris International, Q3 2026 earnings release, Exhibit 99.1 to Form 8-K, dated October | primary |
| H2 | PMI acquired Swedish Match (ZYN's maker) in November 2022. | PMI Form 10-K FY2022 (SEC EDGAR), via search summary; the 8-K above also states FDA has authori | primary (10-K); quote via search summary, re-read before ext |
| H3 | Altria sells on! nicotine pouches through its Helix Innovations venture; six on! PLUS products were FDA-authorized and shipped nationwide from March 2026. | Altria press release 'on! PLUS Expands Nationwide Retail Availability', Business Wire, March 23 | company release via search summary; re-read before external |
| H4 | FDA authorized 20 ZYN products on January 16, 2025, the first authorization of nicotine pouches, because they contain substantially lower amounts of harmful constituents than cigarettes and most smokeless tobacco; FDA said this does not mean the products are safe or FDA approved; youth use 1.8% (2024 NYTS). | FDA press announcement, January 16, 2025 | primary |
| H5 | A 2025 systematic review and meta-analysis found 4 mg nicotine pouches deliver 91.73% (95% CI 85.03–98.42%) of a cigarette's total nicotine exposure. | 'Nicotine pouch pharmacokinetics compared to smoked tobacco: A systematic review and meta-analy | primary |
| H6 | Nicotine measurably improves attention, memory and fine motor performance in people not in withdrawal: 41 double-blind placebo-controlled studies, six domains, effect sizes 0.16–0.44. | Heishman SJ, Kleykamp BA, Singleton EG. 'Meta-analysis of the acute effects of nicotine and smo | primary |
| H7 | 'Having a hard time concentrating' is one of the seven common nicotine withdrawal symptoms the CDC lists. | CDC, '7 Common Withdrawal Symptoms', last reviewed September 27, 2024 | primary |
| H8 | States will collect $21.7 billion in FY2026 from tobacco taxes and settlement payments and spend $728.6 million (3.4%) on prevention and cessation, 22% of the CDC-recommended $3.3 billion; the industry spends more than $8.6 billion a year on marketing, nearly 12 to 1. | Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids, 'Broken Promises to Our Children: A State-by-State Look at the | primary (advocacy report compiling state budget data and FTC |
| H9 | Cigarette smoking cost the United States more than $600 billion in 2018 and causes more than 480,000 deaths a year. | CDC, 'Health and Economic Benefits of Tobacco Use Interventions', last reviewed July 12, 2024 | primary |
| H10 | In 2006 a federal district court found that the major cigarette manufacturers had for decades conspired to deny the health effects of smoking, in violation of RICO, and ordered corrective statements; the D.C. Circuit upheld the remedy (2009, 2015, 2017) while striking preambles that characterised past deception. | United States v. Philip Morris USA Inc., No. 16-5101 (D.C. Cir., decided April 25, 2017), opini | primary (court opinion, pdftotext) |
| H11 | Of the 430 live US-relevant nicotine-free pouch ads (Oct 21 census, 23 brands), 41.2% run the nicotine-replacement angle and 44.9% focus. | Oct 21 census v2 | own research |
| H13 | PMI's CEO, on the same Oct 21 2026 release that reports 3.2 billion ZYN pouches, credits 'the exceptional results of our combustible business'; combustible net revenues grew 6.4% in the quarter. | Jacek Olczak, Group CEO PMI, quoted in the Q3 2026 earnings release, Exhibit 99.1 to Form 8-K, | primary |
| H14 | In 30 daily smokers tested without a cigarette for 0, 5 and 17 hours, deprivation slowed reaction time, increased errors, increased response variability and increased failures of inhibitory control on a sustained-attention task (Conners' CPT-II); 17 hours was the condition most affected. | Harrison EL, Coppola S, McKee SA. 'Nicotine deprivation and trait impulsivity affect smokers' p | primary |
| H15 | A review of 120 studies (1990-2004) lists difficulty concentrating among the valid tobacco withdrawal symptoms, which peak within the first week and last 2-4 weeks. | Hughes JR. 'Effects of abstinence from tobacco: valid symptoms and time course.' Nicotine & Tob | primary |
Not used: Dropped from the argument: Altria's $12.37M 2025 federal lobbying total (no primary reachable; OpenSecrets blocked, LDA filings show $3.29M for Q4 2025 via a mirror) and BAT/Velo ownership (secondary sources only).
| Theme | Sends | Median $/recipient | Which |
|---|---|---|---|
| energy/caffeine | 4 | $0.121 | #1 Protein Coffee - Blog; #2 Protein Coffee - Secret Revealed Blog |
| focus/brain | 0 | — | none |
| nicotine/pouch | 0 | — | none |
Cold start. The list has never been sold focus, nicotine or a pouch; the only adjacent sends are the coffee arc. Two October sends (the Oct 16 Knowledge Vault, read at 4 days: $0.114 per recipient; the Oct 20 nine-test follow-up, hours old: $0.008) are the first cognition-themed value sends and are recorded on the bridge-values page.
| Lane | What ran | Where the receipts live | Gate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Meta census, three pulls | (a) ads/query × 7 terms with a US country filter, Oct 20 (1,966 credits); (b) the same terms, no country filter, seen since Oct 13 (1,095); (c) 14 brands pulled by advertiser (3,729); probes 50 | _research/trendtrack/raw · live_sweep · brand_ads · data/census.json (v2; v1 kept) | 2,865 unique (≥150 ✓) · 151 ran 90d+ by true run (≥40 ✓) |
| Ring + angle coding | keyword rules over advertiser, title, body, transcript, landing domain; provisional taxonomy from the concept page | data/census.json · data/scoreboard.json · ads-system angles.config.json | every ad has a ring and a primary angle; manual pass pending |
| Hooks | first sentence of the longest-running pouch-ring bodies, deduped | data/hooks.json | 60 hooks |
| Imagery | 150 creatives downloaded (8 per advertiser cap), thumbnails | media/manifest.json · media/thumb/ | 150 ✓ (≥60) · coding on five dimensions PENDING |
| Our list | Klaviyo campaigns + campaign-values, last 12 full months, A/B summed, SMS excluded | klaviyo/campaigns_12mo.json · coffee_precedents.json · bridge_sends.json | 983 messages, 152 email sends ≥5k |
| Ingredient evidence | PubMed esearch per active, titles only | data/evidence_candidates.json | candidates listed; abstracts NOT yet read; nothing reaches copy until read |
| Keywords, VOC, price | concept page (Jungle Scout July 2; Amazon reviews n≈73 July 2; Amazon prices July 2) | https://nootropic-pouches.vercel.app/ | July data, labelled; live refresh pending |
| Regulatory + payments | primary documents fetched and quoted | regulatory/surface.json · surface.md | 21 rows, 4 counsel questions |
campaigns/nootropic-pouches-2026/_research/build_dossier.py, which this time lives in the repo with its data. Prices USD. Competitor ad text quoted as competitor language. No COGS, margins or supplier figures appear here by rule.